By Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp
In his article yesterday “Yes, intelligent analysis is
lacking”, Peter Jones furthers the kidology. In so doing, he is guilty of
ignoring the facts.
Business for Scotland’s analysis of Scotland’s financial
position is based on official government data and has been verified by one of
the country’s leading independent economic brains.
It proves two key things. First, that every year for the
past 32 years – the period covered by the Government Expenditure and Revenue
Scotland (GERS) report – has included a deduction from Scotland’s block grant
equivalent to our population percentage share of UK debt. Over that period,
that amounted to £64.1 billion.
Second, during that time, had Scotland been an independent
country with its geographic share of oil revenues established under
international law (as would be the case under independence) Scotland’s
borrowing would have been zero.
Ipso facto, Scotland has paid £64.1bn servicing debts it did
not need. Bang goes the great unionist myth. Peter Jones claims that my
analysis does not consider the interest on debt prior to 1980, but in the
footnote of the study he was critiquing it plainly states that this was
factored in.
Hard though many in the pro-union camp may find it to bear,
Scotland subsidises the UK – not the other way round. Unfortunately, the myth
has been perpetrated for so long that many people have come to believe it and
it has damaged the confidence of Scottish people.
Further, if Scotland inherits a population percentage share
of UK debt, that would be 8.4 per cent, but if we stay in the UK and continue
to generate 9.9 per cent of UK revenues then we effectively overpay for the
debt.
The No Campaign does not like this analysis because it is
powerful, solid and the data is correct. It is keen to sustain the great
financial con trick because it fits very well with its relentless
scaremongering and negativity – but it does not stand up to intelligent
scrutiny.
There is no positive analysis or even positive message from
the No Campaign, which is one reason why David Cameron is refusing to debate
with Alex Salmond.
• Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp is CEO of Business for
Scotland, a pro-Yes business policy and economics policy think tank
When have they ever told the truth?
ReplyDeleteerm... well...um...
DeleteNope, you got me there.
No no, wait. When that bloke in Baxter park, Dundee, was threatened with violence by the strange looking lone woman's heavies, I reckon that that was probably the truth.
If he hadn't gone away they would have done a bit of Ian Davidson on him.